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vol. 14
Clinical research

Is there a rapid increase in prevalence of obesity in Polish children? An 18-year prospective observational study in Gdansk, Poland

Michał Brzeziński, Marek Jankowski, Agnieszka Jankowska, Aleksandra Niedzielska, Barbara Kamińska

Arch Med Sci 2018; 14, 1: 22–29
Online publish date: 2017/12/19
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Decades of comparisons between the anthropometric indices of individuals of the same age and gender revealed the phenomenon of developmental acceleration, which is also referred to as a secular trend [1]. While inhibition has already been documented in some Northern European countries, the secular increase in attained height still continues in Southern and Central Europe [2, 3]. Postulated reasons behind these discrepancies and causes of the observed deceleration include the negative influence of compounds present in the environment and foods [4], and the effects of environmental and family stressors [5].
Apart from the secular trend documented in children and adolescents, an increase in body fatness and weight of individuals from this age category can be observed during recent decades [6]. This is reflected by increasing prevalence of overweight and obesity among both children and adults.

Epidemiology of overweight and obesity worldwide and in Poland

Irrespective of diagnostic criteria [7–9], a considerable increase in the number of individuals with excess body fatness can be observed in recent years [10, 11]. Due to the improvement in global economic status, this problem affects an increasing number of individuals in all social groups [12]. After the collapse of the Communist Bloc, a radical improvement in socioeconomic conditions (including the availability of highly energetic foodstuffs) and lifestyle was observed in Poland as well [13, 14]. However, this was reflected by an increased number of overweight and obese individuals [15].
Like in adults, the emerging epidemic of overweight and obesity is observed among children and adolescents as well [16]. Nevertheless, a number of reports published during the last 5 years suggest that the upward tendency in the prevalence of obesity in highly developed countries has slowed down or even stopped, probably due to implementation of appropriate preventive measures [17, 18]. Comparative analysis of epidemiological data is hindered by the lack of regular screening of the Polish pediatric population.
The aim of this study was to analyze the prevalence of overweight and obesity among selected age categories of children from Gdansk, on the basis of 1992–2012 data collected by the local Center for the Promotion of Children’s Health and Fitness.

Material and methods

The analysis included data on body weight and height collected within the framework of two screening programs carried out by the Center for the Promotion of Children’s Health and Fitness (CPCHF): “Your Child’s Healthy Life” and “Healthy Student”. CPCHF is a public institution, financed by the city of Gdansk.
Overall, the data of 70,329 children were analyzed, including 46,660 children between 6 and 7 years of age participating in the “Your Child’s Healthy Life” program between 1994 and 2010, and the measurements of 23,669 children aged between 8 and 13 years who took part in the “Healthy Student” program between 1998 and 2012. The protocol of the study was approved by the Local Bioethics Committee at the Medical University of Gdansk. All the children were examined after obtaining written consent from their parents (legal caregivers) and in their presence (in the case of 6–7-year-old children).
Body height was measured to the nearest 1 mm, with the children standing barefoot in a stretched (Frankfurt) position. Body weight was determined to the nearest 50 g, with the children barefoot and dressed in their underwear or gym outfits.
The age of the children, expressed in a decimal system, was calculated as the difference between the date of measurement and the date of birth, according to Malina and Bouchard [19].
The percentile categories of body height, body weight, and body mass index (BMI) were determined on the basis of actual reference charts for Polish children and adolescents [20].

Statistical analysis

Percentiles of BMI and z-scores were calculated on the basis of L, M, and S parameters, as described by Cole [1]. Percentages of children who did not fall into respective BMI categories were presented with the Wilson confidence intervals. The results were compared with Pearson’s 2 test or Fisher’s exact test. All the calculations were carried out in the R 2.15.1 environment, with the threshold of statistical significance set at p ≤ 0.05.


Characteristics of study group

Basic characteristics of the studied population, stratified according to children’s age and year of examination, are presented in Table I. Due to the very low fraction of 8-year-old children (n = 2,024, 3.03%), which resulted from the specifics of the screening protocol, this group was not included in further analyses. Although the group of 13-year-old children also constituted a small fraction of the entire examined population (3.30%), it still corresponded to about 10% of all 13-year-olds from Gdansk, and thus was included in our analysis. Moreover, a predominance of 6- and 7-year-old children, corresponding to more than 60% of the study group, is worth noting. This is associated with longer duration of screening in this age category and the specificity of examination of 8- to 13-year-old children. The fractions of girls and boys were 50.46% and 49.54% of the study group, respectively.

Prevalence of overweight and obesity

On the basis of data on participants’ age, body weight and body height, the gender-specific percentile values of BMI were assigned to each age category. The data presented here include a group of 6- to 7- and 9- to 13-year-old children.
The prevalence of overweight and obesity in the study group, stratified according to gender and age, is presented in Figures 1–5. The gender- and age-specific values of the 85th and 95th percentile of BMI were determined from the percentile charts [20].
Due to availability of data from the CPCHF’s screening programs, the duration of follow-up was the longest (i.e. 17 years) in the case of 6–7-year-old children. In contrast, the shortest, 6-year long, follow-up was available for 13-year-old children.
Statistical analysis revealed that the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children from various age categories differed significantly depending on the year of examination. A growing tendency, lasting for 4–5 years, was observed in the case of 6–7-year-old children born in 1993–1998 and examined between 1999 and 2005. A similar tendency was documented in 12-year-old participants, examined between 2005 and 2010. However, both tendencies were normalized or reversed in subsequent years. Aside from that, we did not identify any constant trend to increase or decrease in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in any of the studied age groups.
However, we revealed an age-related increase in the prevalence of overweight and obesity. While it was observed throughout all consecutive age categories in boys, an increase in the prevalence of excess body weight in girls was documented solely until puberty (about 10 years of age), with a subsequent decrease, more pronounced in the case of overweight than in obesity.
We revealed statistically significant gender-specific differences in the prevalence of overweight and obesity. Overweight and obesity were significantly more frequent in girls than in boys from all age categories, except 12- and 13-year-old children, in whom no gender-specific differences were documented.


Long-term studies revealed an increasing tendency in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adolescents from developed and developing countries. The situation in Poland is similar as in other Central European countries [21, 22].
Searching through the available literature we found sparse nationwide epidemiologic reports and a few studies analyzing changes in body weight of children and adolescents from various regions of Poland [23, 24]. They documented significant changes in both mean and maximum values of these parameters. Unfortunately, respective changes in BMI were not reported in these papers.
We did not confirm the previously reported growing tendency in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children. Although a slight upward tendency was documented among 6- to 7-year-old children born between 1987 and 1999, it was substantially corrected in subsequent years. Chrzanowska et al. [24] documented a considerable increase in mean body weight on comparative analysis of data from children examined in 1971 and 1983; however, despite longer interval between the studies, she reported markedly less pronounced differences in body weight of individuals examined in 1983 and 2000. Also, another Polish study [25] revealed that the increase in mean body weight and height of subjects examined in the 1970s and 1980s was more pronounced than in subsequent decades. As our study included data of children born after 1987, it probably did not cover this period of secular increase in physical development. Nevertheless, it should be noted that data from many highly developed countries, and the results of Polish regional studies [23, 24], suggest that the problem in question still existed, albeit at a markedly lower rate, also in 1990s and in the first decade of the 21st century [25]. Comparing those data to available similar data from other CEE countries shows similarity in the lack of tendency of obesity increase in younger children (preschool in the Czech Republic) [26]. Differences were observed in adolescents. Increase of overweight and/or obesity was observed in some age groups in youth from Slovakia and the Czech Republic [22, 27].
The discrepancies between our findings and literature evidence may have several potential reasons. For example, the follow-up period of our 10-13-year-old children was too short to reveal any longitudinal changes. As a result, we did not observe any secular trend in the anthropometric parameters of participants from this age category, and a decrease in the prevalence of overweight and obesity was occasionally documented. During a 17-year observation of children aged 6 and 7, we identified a period characterized by a secular increase in body weight. The increased prevalence of overweight and obesity was observed in boys and girls born between 1999 and 2005. Although this tendency was not documented in subsequent years, a periodic character of changes could still be observed. However, this phenomenon did not occur universally across the whole studied population. Perhaps this resulted from the quality of available data, namely from the CPCHF’s organization of work and too short follow-up period of children older than 6–7 years of age.
A decrease in the prevalence of overweight can result from a variety of reasons. The prevalence of excess body weight among children decreases proportionally to the number of social or media campaigns, and educational activities addressed to school teachers, parents and the children themselves. However, data from neighboring states and countries characterized by a higher level of economic development suggest that the complete attenuation of the secular trend observed in Poland is unlikely. Nevertheless, it could be at least normalized by early implementation of the preventive measures mentioned above.
The age-related increase in the prevalence of excess body weight is another problem identified by our study. Moreover, we revealed gender-specific differences in this parameter. These differences may result from the influence of both intrinsic and extrinsic factors, among them sexual maturation and gender-specific distribution of body fat, which is indirectly reflected by BMI. Also the environmental impact should be considered, as patterns of an ideal male and female figure exist in public opinion. Noticeably, our findings are consistent with data from other regions of Poland [23]. Similar results were found in several studies including studies from the Czech Republic, showing a large difference in prevalence of obesity between sexes [21, 28].
In conclusion, this study did not identify any constant trend in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among 6- to 13-year-old children from Gdansk. Nevertheless, a periodic increase in the prevalence of excess body weight was documented among 6-, 7-, and 12-year-old children born between 1993 and 1997. While the prevalence of overweight in boys increased with age, a similar tendency was documented solely in prepubertal girls. The prevalence of obesity increased in puberty in boys, and remained relatively stable throughout all developmental stages of girls. The prevalence of excess body weight was higher in girls than in boys.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.


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